Methodology

How every forecast on this site is made, checked and scored.

Each area documents its own models. The methods are written up before the results are known, and assumptions are graded by how well they have been tested. Every document is versioned, and changes are recorded in a dated change log.

Elections

Economics

The methods for the RBA Rate Tracker, the CPI Nowcast, Petrol Cycles and the Labour Nowcast will be published here before each product goes live. About the Economics products →

Sport

The team-strength models for the AFL, NRL and Big Bash will be documented here before the first forecasts are published. About the Sport products →

Real Estate

The clearance-rate nowcast and the suburb-level models of prices and rents will be documented here before the first forecasts are published. About the Real Estate products →

Others